8 Comments
User's avatar
Eve Bieber's avatar

As you wrote in another article, sometimes the bosses will have had it with one client, so they destroy it and empower another. As you also pointed out in yet another article, Iran's mafiosi leadership has pretty much already destroyed the country. It makes sense, then, to euthanize this dying beast and replace it with another. My money is on Turkey, which everyone seems to be ignoring, while its murderous Islamist leader has built up one of the world's most formidable military, more formidable at this point than Iran's ever was.

With the media keeping his mass murders of the Kurds and imprisoning and torture of regime opponents out of the public's eye, sultan Erdogan entertains dreams of annihilating Israel and restoring the Ottoman caliphate. However, he still dresses as a Westerner and his country, though it speaks and acts more like a fanatical Islamist regime with each passing year, is still a member in good standing of NATO.

Turkey is already busy ringing Israel, as Iran had done in the past. The current Jihadist regime in Syria is beholden to it. As well, Turkey keeps insisting on being part of the Gaza hell-hole's "board of peace". Israel is determined to keep it out, but we'll see whether Trump who considers Erdogan a very good friend, will have any of that once he's done with Iran and can return his focus back to "peace making". Being Sunni, the Turkish caliphate has very good relations also with Egypt and (still Wahabist)Saudi Arabia, with whom peace agreements or any sort of "Abraham accords" aren't worth the paper they are written on. I don't know what the sultan of Turkey is cooking up with Jordan's midget dynasty, but the choke ring around Israel seems pretty tight already, with or without it.

Hannah W's avatar

Okay, so the MOR model makes sense, far as it has gone to date.

"The US bosses are covert totalitarian antisemites, working to produce, by proxy, a jihadi genocide of the Jewish people in the State of Israel."

Yet in this round there is a powerful driver not yet factored in - 80 million Iranian people who want their secular freedoms back. The only reason they haven't risen up against the tattered regime is because they were told to wait for a ceasefire. But as of 2 days ago armed civilians have already begun to take revenge on the IRGC and Basij. According to Iranian insiders, the nation is overwhelmingly pro-Israel, except for the 5% still loyal to the ayatollahs. So is the most likely leader of the transition government, Reza Pahlavi.

For the model to work this time, the US bosses would need to forcibly change the direction of that momentum 180 degrees, using... what?

Eve Bieber's avatar

Using one delay after another, to "give peace a chance", while also blocking Israel from decimating Hezbollah, which in essence, is a tacit acknowledgement of Iran's claim to Lebanon. Basically, just as the USA and Israel had victory and regime change within their grasp, the USA applied the brakes and continues to cede negotiating points, as if it is we, rather than the Iranian regime, who would collapse if war resumed. Unbelievable.

Hannah W's avatar

Granted, and that has been a pattern between Israel and America since the ceasefire that stopped the Six-Day War. What's happening now seems to be throwing that pattern into a tailspin.

In addition to the Iranian people -- who have started methodically going after their IRGC / Basij tormenters in "mysterious explosions", we can now add the Saudis and Emiratis who for their own reasons want the IRGC obliterated. It's no secret that they are pissed off at Trump for not finishing the job.

Especially the UAE, which is taking serious hits during this current 'ceasefire' and justifiably feels betrayed by the US pretense that all is quiet, as well as by their supposed Gulf allies who are letting them twist in the wind (even the Saudis seem to be all talk & no action so far).

Israel's decision to step up and defend the Emirates with the Iron Dome is recognition for the UAE's courage in breaking ranks with the Islamic taboo -- and by the MOR model, defying the globalist bosses -- for which they are now paying a price. (Some in Israel have dubbed the UAE "the Arab Gaza Envelope" - referring to the decades when Jewish towns along Gaza's border were shelled by an estimated 45,000 rockets, while the world pretended all was quiet. So there is an emotional identification as well.)

Even CNN is grudgingly reporting newly formed "cracks" in "the old Middle Eastern alliance".

Also as I said, we still don't know what 80 million angry Iranians are capable of, but I think minimally it will include flipping the bird to Trump if he tries to interfere with their efforts to topple the jihadi regime.

In short, I'm not sure the US bosses saw this series of Middle East earthquakes in their tarot cards, and it will be interesting to see if they can come up with a way to derail the mutiny. I doubt that they can turn the clock back to the control they once had.

Eve Bieber's avatar

I admit that when Francisco Gil-White's article first came out, in the midst of powerful, coordinated bombing campaigns, I, too, thought that the bosses either failed in the attempt to control the unpredictable Trump, or they had a plan to abandon Iran and switch to Turkey as their preferred client.

But then the war came to a sudden screeching halt, just as victory was within reach, to be replaced with negotiations, the media giving voice to Hussein BO's former staffers extolling his deal with Iran, and accompanied by incomprehensible American retreats, none of which make any sense whatsoever, other than in the MOR model.

We've been played for fools again and the two links below seem to confirm it:

1) Recent actions, or lack thereof, by the USA, making victory impossible:

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/robert-pape-us-zero-chance/2026/05/06/id/1255407/?ns_mail_uid=508134d2-ad47-4a00-9218-c3b6046db33c&ns_mail_job=DM960462_05062026&s=acs&dkt_nbr=9898-1

2) On the USA's 250th anniversary, no less, which gives me the sense that the bosses have lost all respect for the American public's intelligence:

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/air-force-one-qatar-gift/2026/05/06/id/1255436/?ns_mail_uid=508134d2-ad47-4a00-9218-c3b6046db33c&ns_mail_job=DM959504_05062026&s=acs&dkt_nbr=01050411cug0

Hannah W's avatar

Well, I read the first Newsmax report, and when I checked online for why 'project freedom' was halted after only 36 hours, there were two contradictory versions:

1- Trump called a time-out because a new deal with Iran was in the making (the version accepted by Newsmax); 2- He was forced to halt it, because the Saudis and Kuwaitis suddenly stopped cooperating to make US escort protection possible (the version from the Saudis themselves).

Israeli sources noted that the Saudis and Kuwaitis "decided to prevent the US military from using their bases and skies after senior US officials downplayed Iranian attacks on the Gulf in response to the US operation," but again there were two contradictory reasons going around:

1- They saw the UAE getting hammered and were scared that the US would likewise abandon them if a new round of war began;

2- They were insulted that the US launched 'project freedom' before consulting with them, so they blocked the US from their air space as a return insult. (The US insisted that they were notified beforehand, but there's a difference between being told and being consulted.)

I was inclined to go with the second reason, knowing how big a part injured Arab honor plays in our region's politics. The West never seems to get that.

As of one hour ago, the two Arab countries ended their blockage, which pretty much confirms that it was to make a point. ("Don't take our alliance for granted, and don't give us orders!")

If 'project freedom' restarts tomorrow, we will know that the "new deal with Iran" was a face-saving excuse to hide Trump's loss of control over the two Gulf allies.

Eve Bieber's avatar

It wasn't so much their honor that the Arabs were protecting this time, but their interests.

When the USA asked them to open up their airspace for "Project Freedom", it neglected to inform them that, contrary to what they assumed, this did not mean that the USA would either retaliate if Iran attacked any of them, or agree to let the attacked country retaliate on its own behalf.

What they were really insulted about was the USA's dismissive attitude towards the attacks on the UAE and Oman.

They found themselves, for a change, in Israel's situation. Unlike Israel, they had the leverage to call the USA out on it.

Now Mark Levin twitted something about an Axios report that he hopes is false, about some terrible deal that the USA is cooking up with Iran. He's afraid that it will result in the Republicans losing not just the midterms, but pretty much all future elections to come, as the Democrats grow ever more radical, that after such a debacle the USA would never again be able to go to war against Iran, even when (not if) Iran violates the agreement's terms, and, finally, that in the upcoming October elections, Netanyahu will lose to the left, endangering Israel's very survival.

I, too, hope that the report is false, for if it is true, then it would mean that the entire current war, with all its impeccable coordination with Israel at the start, had been nothing but theater and, worse, a trap.

PN Schwartz's avatar

no real quibbles with any of it. I will make the points that imo, given what Brzezinski said and the US's repeated empowerment of jihadists, the notion that the US was ever fighting *against* jihadists in Afghanistan or Iraq is absurd. The only thing that makes sense, per US policy as well as per US propaganda, is that the US was fighting 'islamophobes'--anti-fascist/secular people (likely mostly unobservant Muslims), while US media told us fairy tales about 'isis' and similar kayfabe characters that we have absolutely no way of knowing if they existed in any way.

Think about it: the notion of the Pentagon fighting against jihadists while also giving hundreds of millions of dollars to fatah/hamas is just ridiculous. And the US also fought islamophobes in the Balkans (as you and Jared) have documented amply.

So I'd merely posit that the US has spent 47 years fighting resistance to jihad, while lying in western media and inventing kayfabe nonsense like 'we're fighting isis!!!'.

Wrt Iran, something different is definitely going on. I wonder if Israel is using all her powers to force the US to fight against jihad--and the US has to placate some 'societal grammar' (or whatever your term is) by actually helping Israel, but is obviously deploying ALL propaganda efforts imaginable to get regular people to despise Israel and push for the US to stop killing jihadists. This seems to be what is going on. Trump, the political-wrestling entertainer of course just plays his role and decides nothing. Trump has magically been absolved of running a Jewhate propaganda campaign (even though this has been going on throughout his presidency).